Tsai Ing-wen, Is DPP Obstinacy the Result of Ignorance, Deceit, or Cold-Bloodedness?
United Daily News editorial (Taipei, Taiwan, ROC)
August 7, 2014
Summary: Taiwan, Mainland China, and South Korea are in competition. The
street corner is now filled with propene gas. Before it explodes, no one
realizes who is responsible. Once the explosion has occurred, everyone
knows who made the hole in the pipeline. So the question for the DPP,
and especially DPP Chairman Tsai Ing-wen is this: Is your obstinacy the
result of ignorance, deceit, or cold-bloodedness?
Full Text Below:
The PRC-ROK FTA will be signed within the year. The clock is ticking. If the ROC fails to respond with an STA, economic disaster will follow. When an unknown gas seeps out of an underground culvert, and its stench fills the streets, failure to respond will inevitably result in catastrophe.
This Tuesday, the Cross-Strait Economic Cooperation Committee met in Beijing. SEF Vice Chairman Chang Hsien-yao said that Taiwan's industrial sector is worried. The PRC and ROK have accelerated negotiations over their FTA. Any advantage the ROC would have derived from ECFA will be nullified. Since the STA is stuck in the Legislative Yuan, the two sides should continue negotiations on the MTA. ARATS vice president Zheng Lizhong said the Mainland is willing to allow Taiwan businesses on the Mainland "set up earlier in order to enjoy more advantages." But he also made clear that "The Mainland cannot halt its opening to the outside world just for Taiwan." These two spokespersons reveal the reason the Ma administration, and even Beijing, is worried.
Coincidentally, the day before Chang and Zheng spoke, a Wall Street Journal editorial commented on this very issue. It said that to mitigate the impact of the PRC-ROK FTA, the ROC should pass the STA and MTA, to avoid further isolation resulting from lowered trade barriers among neighboring countries. The editorial was entitled, "Taiwan Leaves Itself Behind."
The PRC and ROK are about to sign an FTA. If the FTA and MTA are not signed, the trade and economic losses for the ROC are readily calculable. The ITRI's latest report notes that once the PRC-ROK FTA goes into effect, increased reliance on Korean industry will result in a 650 billion NT decline in Taiwan's manufacturing output, over the next three to five years. This does not include the service industry. This does not include any future crisis in cross-Strait relations. This does not include the impact on Taiwan's eligibility for membership in the TPP and RCEP. This does not include the political marginalization caused by economic marginalization. It is no exaggeration to say that the entire structure is about to come tumbling down.
Unfortunately the DPP has decided to prevent passage of the "Cross-Strait Agreement Oversight Regulations," to prevent passage of the FTA, to prevent passge of the MTA, and to prevent passage of the FEPZ special regulations. DPP legislative caucus whip Hsiao Bi-khim said that consideration of such bills during the Kaohsiung gas explosion would be "too cold-blooded." But others have a different take. Taiwan is about to suffer an "economic and trade gas explosion" from ROC, PRC, ROK competition. They note that failure to accelerate passage of the necessary bills is "far more cold-blooded." We can expect the "economic and trade gas explosion" to be a thousand times more lethal than the gas explosion in Kaohsiung.
Invoking the Kaohsiung gas explosion as an excuse to halt consideration of proposed bills is a total non-sequitur. Before the gas explosion, the DPP obstructed the bill for over a year. The DPP opposes the bill for three reasons. One. Ignorance. Gains and losses from economic and trade policy are quantifiable. The aforementioned ITRI report cited a loss of 650 billion NT. Other public institutions have also issued quantitative analyses. Can the DPP make an informed rebuttal of these? Chairman Tsai Ing-wen should ask Lin Chuan to go online and take a look. Two. Deceit. The DPP knows it cannot rebut these numbers and the catastrophe they portend. Instead, they are engaging in pretense and using these bills as political bargaining chips. Their anti-China sentiment has led them to harm Taiwan and oppose Taiwan's best interests. Three. Cold-bloodedness. The DPP knows full well that irrational trouble-making will have catastrophic consequences for Taiwan's economy and trade. But it persists in pushing Taiwan toward that end. It is "cold-blooded," It is indifferent to whether Taiwan lives or dies The DPP is like the phony mother in the fable of King Solomon and the baby. The DPP is willing to cut the baby in half to prove it is the mother. If this is not "too cold-blooded," what is?
Current competition between Taiwan, the Mainland, and South Korea truly does add up to an explosive atmosphere moments before detonation. If manufacturers do not realize that the streets are filled with propene, that is ignorance. If they know they are, but insist "Those pipelines aren't mine!" then it is deceit. If they know the gas is about to explode, but deliberately make a hole in the pipeline and watch propene spill out everywhere, that is "too cold-blooded." By now the DPP cannot possibly still be unaware of the consequences. Yet it persists in political manipulation and self-deception. How is this any different than making a hole in the pipeline and watching as propene leaks all over the street? How is this any different from cold-blooded murderer?
The DPP has vowed to return to power. It claims to be the mother of that infant known as Taiwan. But a real mother's first priority is always to preserve the baby's life and health. What is the point of fighting over the baby if it gets cut in two? Globalization is here to stay. Even Zheng Lizhong knows that "The Mainland cannot halt its liberalization to the outside world just for Taiwan." Does the DPP truly intend to let itself be hijacked by the Sunflower Student Movement? Does it truly intend to cease coopetition with Mainland China and South Korea? Does it truly intend to cease liberalization, globalization, and integration? Does it truly not understand that such cold-blooded policies harm Taiwan and are anti-Taiwan?
Taiwan, Mainland China, and South Korea are in competition. The street corner is now filled with propene gas. Before it explodes, no one realizes who is responsible. Once the explosion has occurred, everyone knows who made the hole in the pipeline. So the question for the DPP, and especially DPP Chairman Tsai Ing-wen is this: Is your obstinacy the result of ignorance, deceit, or cold-bloodedness?
2014.08.07 02:28 am